Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.000703 0.000798 0.000898 0.001012 0.001137 0.001270 0.001421
2025-10-12 0.000562 0.000695 0.000845 0.001026 0.001236 0.001472 0.001756
2025-10-19 0.000474 0.000622 0.000798 0.001018 0.001284 0.001593 0.001977
2025-10-26 0.000405 0.000562 0.000754 0.001005 0.001318 0.001693 0.002170
2025-11-02 0.000360 0.000524 0.000733 0.001013 0.001373 0.001814 0.002389
2025-11-09 0.000321 0.000489 0.000709 0.001014 0.001415 0.001918 0.002586
2025-11-16 0.000276 0.000441 0.000664 0.000982 0.001411 0.001960 0.002705
2025-11-23 0.000241 0.000402 0.000628 0.000957 0.001413 0.002008 0.002828
2025-11-30 0.000216 0.000376 0.000607 0.000953 0.001440 0.002088 0.002994
2025-12-07 0.000196 0.000355 0.000591 0.000952 0.001471 0.002172 0.003167
2025-12-14 0.000176 0.000331 0.000569 0.000941 0.001486 0.002234 0.003310
2025-12-21 0.000157 0.000308 0.000546 0.000926 0.001494 0.002285 0.003438
2025-12-28 0.000149 0.000302 0.000550 0.000952 0.001564 0.002425 0.003694
2026-01-04 0.000139 0.000293 0.000548 0.000969 0.001619 0.002546 0.003925
2026-01-11 0.000126 0.000276 0.000530 0.000961 0.001636 0.002612 0.004081
2026-01-18 0.000113 0.000258 0.000511 0.000948 0.001645 0.002667 0.004221
2026-01-25 0.000105 0.000249 0.000505 0.000957 0.001686 0.002767 0.004428
2026-02-01 0.000097 0.000238 0.000495 0.000957 0.001715 0.002850 0.004611
2026-02-08 0.000084 0.000217 0.000468 0.000927 0.001692 0.002856 0.004681
2026-02-15 0.000074 0.000201 0.000445 0.000903 0.001680 0.002875 0.004770
2026-02-22 0.000068 0.000191 0.000434 0.000899 0.001698 0.002942 0.004930
2026-03-01 0.000062 0.000182 0.000425 0.000898 0.001722 0.003017 0.005103
2026-03-08 0.000056 0.000171 0.000412 0.000888 0.001729 0.003065 0.005238